| Narender Modi |
In the grand theatre of global politics, India has long fancied itself a Vishwaguru—a leader that stands on its own terms, balancing competing interests with a strategic autonomy honed over decades of non-alignment. Yet, if you have been watching the news lately, a different picture is emerging. It is a picture of long queues—a recurring motif in India’s recent history—but this time, the lines are forming not for banknotes or vaccines, but at airports in the Gulf and at the mercy of geopolitical waves.
When the country faces crises, the narrative often shifts. First, it was the "bravery" of standing in line during demonetization; then, the "discipline" of pandemic lockdowns. Today, as the skies over West Asia burn and millions of Indian expatriates face an uncertain future, one must ask: Why are ordinary Indians once again being asked to stand in line—this time for safety, for jobs, and for a foreign policy strategy that increasingly seems to serve everyone but them?
Let’s pull back the curtain on the recent state visit to Israel, the silence on Iran, and the quiet desperation of 1 million Indians caught in the crossfire.
The Israeli Embrace: A Strategic Partnership or a Dangerous Liaison?
In February 2026, Prime Minister Narendra Modi landed in Israel for a state visit that was draped in symbolism and pageantry. He addressed the Knesset, spoke of "shared pain," and alongside Benjamin Netanyahu, signed a slew of deals to elevate the relationship to a "Special Strategic Partnership" .
On the surface, this looks like business as usual. Israel is a tech powerhouse; India needs semiconductors, AI, and defence technology . The joint statement spoke of "peace, innovation, and prosperity." But the timing was everything.
The visit occurred just days before a coordinated US-Israeli attack on Iranian soil . By standing so visibly in Tel Aviv—referring to Israel as a "fatherland" while juxtaposing it with India as the "motherland"—Modi sent a message that went beyond bilateral trade. As one analyst noted, this wasn't just diplomacy; it was a "clear public signal of alignment" .
In February 2026, Prime Minister Narendra Modi landed in Israel for a state visit that was draped in symbolism and pageantry. He addressed the Knesset, spoke of "shared pain," and alongside Benjamin Netanyahu, signed a slew of deals to elevate the relationship to a "Special Strategic Partnership" .
On the surface, this looks like business as usual. Israel is a tech powerhouse; India needs semiconductors, AI, and defence technology . The joint statement spoke of "peace, innovation, and prosperity." But the timing was everything.
The visit occurred just days before a coordinated US-Israeli attack on Iranian soil . By standing so visibly in Tel Aviv—referring to Israel as a "fatherland" while juxtaposing it with India as the "motherland"—Modi sent a message that went beyond bilateral trade. As one analyst noted, this wasn't just diplomacy; it was a "clear public signal of alignment" .
The Silence on Khamenei (and the Strained Logic)
This brings us to a point of confusion that resonates deeply with the Indian public. If India stands so firmly with Israel, why was the Prime Minister silent on the assassination of a key Iranian figure? The query raised was: Why did Modi go to Israel the day after Ali Khamenei was allegedly assassinated, and why was there no condemnation?
The answer lies in the transactional nature of this new relationship. India is no longer trying to balance its ties between Iran, the Gulf, and Israel—a practice known as "de-hyphenation." Instead, it has seemingly chosen a side. While Russia and Iran have traditionally been India’s strategic allies, the current administration in New Delhi appears to be betting on a Western-Israeli axis .
When asked about the broader implications, the Ministry of External Affairs remains focused on the "complementary capabilities" of India and Israel . But the silence on Iranian casualties speaks volumes. It suggests a diplomatic calculation: India is willing to burn its bridges with Tehran to cement a strategic partnership with Tel Aviv and Washington.
This brings us to a point of confusion that resonates deeply with the Indian public. If India stands so firmly with Israel, why was the Prime Minister silent on the assassination of a key Iranian figure? The query raised was: Why did Modi go to Israel the day after Ali Khamenei was allegedly assassinated, and why was there no condemnation?
The answer lies in the transactional nature of this new relationship. India is no longer trying to balance its ties between Iran, the Gulf, and Israel—a practice known as "de-hyphenation." Instead, it has seemingly chosen a side. While Russia and Iran have traditionally been India’s strategic allies, the current administration in New Delhi appears to be betting on a Western-Israeli axis .
When asked about the broader implications, the Ministry of External Affairs remains focused on the "complementary capabilities" of India and Israel . But the silence on Iranian casualties speaks volumes. It suggests a diplomatic calculation: India is willing to burn its bridges with Tehran to cement a strategic partnership with Tel Aviv and Washington.
The "Greater Israel" vs. "Akhand Bharat" Conundrum
Perhaps the most unsettling aspect of this shift is the ideological mirroring. Critics point out that while Modi speaks of "Akhand Bharat" (Undivided India) domestically, he is cozying up to a government in Israel where factions openly discuss "Greater Israel"—territorial ambitions that destabilize the region .
When the world is increasingly isolating Israel over its policies in Gaza and the West Bank, why is Modi getting closer? The answer, according to the official joint statement, is "economic and technological transformation" . But unofficially, it is about positioning. As a former ambassador noted, India is choosing the course that best serves its "national interests," even if that means a realignment away from its old friends .
Perhaps the most unsettling aspect of this shift is the ideological mirroring. Critics point out that while Modi speaks of "Akhand Bharat" (Undivided India) domestically, he is cozying up to a government in Israel where factions openly discuss "Greater Israel"—territorial ambitions that destabilize the region .
When the world is increasingly isolating Israel over its policies in Gaza and the West Bank, why is Modi getting closer? The answer, according to the official joint statement, is "economic and technological transformation" . But unofficially, it is about positioning. As a former ambassador noted, India is choosing the course that best serves its "national interests," even if that means a realignment away from its old friends .
The Economic Suicide: Losing Iran and Russia
For decades, India’s foreign policy was a masterclass in hedging. It bought oil from Iran, traded with Russia, and worked with the US. Today, that equilibrium is shattered.
The 90% Dependency Problem
India imports roughly 90% of its crude oil from the Gulf region. When the US and Israel attacked Iran in late February, Iran retaliated by tightening the noose on the Strait of Hormuz—the narrow chokepoint through which 20% of the world’s oil flows .
By aligning so openly with Israel during this period, India has effectively sabotaged its own energy security. The immediate result? Long lines at gas stations in India and a spike in cooking gas prices . The government’s logic seems to be that Russian oil can fill the gap.
Running Back to Moscow
Ironically, having spent months under US pressure to reduce Russian oil imports (a painful concession to Donald Trump’s tariffs), India is now scrambling to rekindle that old friendship . Petroleum Minister Hardeep Singh Puri is now in talks with Russia to double crude imports and resume LNG deals .
It is a humbling reversal. One Indian government document reportedly lamented that India cut Russian imports before the war, which "would have buffered the situation" . Having lost Iran as a reliable partner and angered the Gulf states with its pro-Israel posture, India is left with Russia—a partner that, while friendly, is now selling energy in a "seller's market" with less favorable terms .
For decades, India’s foreign policy was a masterclass in hedging. It bought oil from Iran, traded with Russia, and worked with the US. Today, that equilibrium is shattered.
The 90% Dependency Problem
India imports roughly 90% of its crude oil from the Gulf region. When the US and Israel attacked Iran in late February, Iran retaliated by tightening the noose on the Strait of Hormuz—the narrow chokepoint through which 20% of the world’s oil flows .
By aligning so openly with Israel during this period, India has effectively sabotaged its own energy security. The immediate result? Long lines at gas stations in India and a spike in cooking gas prices . The government’s logic seems to be that Russian oil can fill the gap.
Running Back to Moscow
Ironically, having spent months under US pressure to reduce Russian oil imports (a painful concession to Donald Trump’s tariffs), India is now scrambling to rekindle that old friendship . Petroleum Minister Hardeep Singh Puri is now in talks with Russia to double crude imports and resume LNG deals .
It is a humbling reversal. One Indian government document reportedly lamented that India cut Russian imports before the war, which "would have buffered the situation" . Having lost Iran as a reliable partner and angered the Gulf states with its pro-Israel posture, India is left with Russia—a partner that, while friendly, is now selling energy in a "seller's market" with less favorable terms .
The Epstein Shadow: Compromise or Conspiracy?
Amidst this geopolitical chaos, a scandal has emerged that suggests deeper vulnerabilities. Recent releases of the so-called "Epstein Files" reportedly mentioned the names of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Petroleum Minister Hardeep Singh Puri .
The Ministry of External Affairs has dismissed these mentions as "completely baseless," calling them "trashy ruminations by a convicted criminal" . Fact-checking organizations and a plea in the Madras High Court have also labeled the claims linking Modi to the files as "100% fabricated" .
Amidst this geopolitical chaos, a scandal has emerged that suggests deeper vulnerabilities. Recent releases of the so-called "Epstein Files" reportedly mentioned the names of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Petroleum Minister Hardeep Singh Puri .
The Ministry of External Affairs has dismissed these mentions as "completely baseless," calling them "trashy ruminations by a convicted criminal" . Fact-checking organizations and a plea in the Madras High Court have also labeled the claims linking Modi to the files as "100% fabricated" .
Why the Silence?
While the government has vocally dismissed the allegations, the opposition and sections of the media are asking: Why is Modi compromised? Is America holding a secret file?
Officially, there is no evidence to suggest any compromise. However, the timing of the files' release and the subsequent political noise highlight a pattern: whenever Modi takes a bold geopolitical step (especially one favoring the US/Israel), questions about his government's integrity surface. Whether the "Epstein Files" are a tool of pressure or merely a political tool for domestic opponents remains a matter of fierce debate. What is clear is that the administration is defensive, treating the allegations as a "distraction" from the official diplomatic work .
While the government has vocally dismissed the allegations, the opposition and sections of the media are asking: Why is Modi compromised? Is America holding a secret file?
Officially, there is no evidence to suggest any compromise. However, the timing of the files' release and the subsequent political noise highlight a pattern: whenever Modi takes a bold geopolitical step (especially one favoring the US/Israel), questions about his government's integrity surface. Whether the "Epstein Files" are a tool of pressure or merely a political tool for domestic opponents remains a matter of fierce debate. What is clear is that the administration is defensive, treating the allegations as a "distraction" from the official diplomatic work .
Human Cost: 1 Million Stranded in the Gulf
While politicians debate strategies in Delhi and Tel Aviv, a humanitarian crisis is brewing in the Gulf. An estimated 1 million Indians live and work across the GCC countries . They are the lifeline of the Indian economy, sending home billions in remittances.
While politicians debate strategies in Delhi and Tel Aviv, a humanitarian crisis is brewing in the Gulf. An estimated 1 million Indians live and work across the GCC countries . They are the lifeline of the Indian economy, sending home billions in remittances.
The New Lines: Waiting to Leave or Stay
With the Strait of Hormuz effectively shut and the war intensifying, these expats are now "standing in line" in a metaphorical sense—facing impossible choices.
According to reports from Kerala, the state with the largest diaspora, the situation is dire but complex. While only about 67,000 have returned so far (less than 1% of the total), the fear of large-scale job losses is growing . Construction has slowed; supply chains are choked; and shipping companies are struggling with skyrocketing insurance and fuel costs .
The dilemma for these workers is heartbreaking:
Stay: Risk job insecurity, reduced pay, and the physical dangers of a war zone.
Leave: Face bankruptcy. As one worker noted, returning to India means losing a salary that is simply impossible to match back home. "The paycheck is heavier than life," one Dubai-based worker told the Financial Times .
India's Calculated Silence
Why isn't the government doing more? The answer is cold economics. India needs the remittances (1% of GDP) and the strategic presence of its people in the Gulf to maintain influence . By telling expats to either stay or leave at "their own risk," the government is offloading the responsibility of a geopolitical gamble onto the shoulders of the working class.
Why isn't the government doing more? The answer is cold economics. India needs the remittances (1% of GDP) and the strategic presence of its people in the Gulf to maintain influence . By telling expats to either stay or leave at "their own risk," the government is offloading the responsibility of a geopolitical gamble onto the shoulders of the working class.
The Puppet Master: Why Trump is Playing with Modi
The underlying current of all these issues is the shadow of Donald Trump. The US President has been clear: his administration prioritizes Israel and pressures India to cut ties with Iran and Russia .
Why is Modi acting on behalf of America?
The answer lies in leverage. India has historically relied on the US to counterbalance China. But the relationship has become asymmetrical. When Trump imposed punitive tariffs on Indian goods, India blinked, slashing Russian oil imports . When Trump pushed for the "Gaza Peace Plan," Modi endorsed it .
Critics argue that the US is "dictating" terms, and India is silent because it is trapped. Whether it is the Epstein allegations—real or manufactured—or the need for IMF/World Bank support amidst a volatile rupee, Modi seems to lack the bargaining power to go against the American president. As one source put it, India is "reeling twice in less than a year by decisions initiated largely in Washington" .
Conclusion: A Strategy of Lines and Blind Spots
As we look at the sum of these parts—the lines for gas, the lines for repatriation flights, the lines of workers stranded in the Gulf—we see a government that is exceptionally good at managing optics but appears to be failing in strategic foresight.
The "Modi strategy" seems to be: align aggressively with the US-Israel axis, hope for a quick regime change in Iran to stabilize oil prices, and rely on Russia as a backstop. But the human cost is mounting.
The 1 million Indians in the Gulf are not just statistics; they are fathers, sons, and breadwinners. They are now standing in the longest line of all—a waiting game to see if the war will end, or if they will be forced to choose between their safety and their survival.
For a nation aspiring to be a global leader, a foreign policy that leaves its citizens stranded, alienates its old friends, and aligns with divisive ideologies is not a "Special Strategic Partnership"—it is a gamble with people's lives.
Disclaimer: This is an opinion piece based on reported facts and news analysis as of March 2026. The allegations regarding the Epstein Files have been officially dismissed by the Government of India as baseless .
The underlying current of all these issues is the shadow of Donald Trump. The US President has been clear: his administration prioritizes Israel and pressures India to cut ties with Iran and Russia .
Why is Modi acting on behalf of America?
The answer lies in leverage. India has historically relied on the US to counterbalance China. But the relationship has become asymmetrical. When Trump imposed punitive tariffs on Indian goods, India blinked, slashing Russian oil imports . When Trump pushed for the "Gaza Peace Plan," Modi endorsed it .
Critics argue that the US is "dictating" terms, and India is silent because it is trapped. Whether it is the Epstein allegations—real or manufactured—or the need for IMF/World Bank support amidst a volatile rupee, Modi seems to lack the bargaining power to go against the American president. As one source put it, India is "reeling twice in less than a year by decisions initiated largely in Washington" .
Conclusion: A Strategy of Lines and Blind Spots
As we look at the sum of these parts—the lines for gas, the lines for repatriation flights, the lines of workers stranded in the Gulf—we see a government that is exceptionally good at managing optics but appears to be failing in strategic foresight.
The "Modi strategy" seems to be: align aggressively with the US-Israel axis, hope for a quick regime change in Iran to stabilize oil prices, and rely on Russia as a backstop. But the human cost is mounting.
The 1 million Indians in the Gulf are not just statistics; they are fathers, sons, and breadwinners. They are now standing in the longest line of all—a waiting game to see if the war will end, or if they will be forced to choose between their safety and their survival.
For a nation aspiring to be a global leader, a foreign policy that leaves its citizens stranded, alienates its old friends, and aligns with divisive ideologies is not a "Special Strategic Partnership"—it is a gamble with people's lives.
Disclaimer: This is an opinion piece based on reported facts and news analysis as of March 2026. The allegations regarding the Epstein Files have been officially dismissed by the Government of India as baseless .